Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.046763 0.050846 0.054983 0.059480 0.064225 0.069075 0.074401
2025-01-26 0.039777 0.045739 0.052004 0.059051 0.066730 0.074819 0.083957
2025-02-02 0.034843 0.042174 0.050133 0.059356 0.069686 0.080841 0.093737
2025-02-09 0.031433 0.039863 0.049290 0.060501 0.073355 0.087528 0.104224
2025-02-16 0.029424 0.038886 0.049744 0.062944 0.078380 0.095689 0.116394
2025-02-23 0.025277 0.035012 0.046509 0.060829 0.077933 0.097460 0.121190
2025-03-02 0.022464 0.032495 0.044658 0.060140 0.078975 0.100814 0.127714
2025-03-09 0.020167 0.030420 0.043168 0.059727 0.080214 0.104304 0.134334
2025-03-16 0.019245 0.030026 0.043700 0.061744 0.084361 0.111240 0.145052
2025-03-23 0.018054 0.029169 0.043558 0.062849 0.087346 0.116765 0.154099
2025-03-30 0.016871 0.028225 0.043222 0.063643 0.089898 0.121743 0.162495
2025-04-06 0.015355 0.026700 0.042021 0.063233 0.090868 0.124741 0.168464
2025-04-13 0.014400 0.025939 0.041837 0.064177 0.093622 0.130042 0.177409
2025-04-20 0.013036 0.024480 0.040619 0.063684 0.094487 0.132978 0.183456
2025-04-27 0.012049 0.023513 0.040024 0.063982 0.096352 0.137164 0.191072
2025-05-04 0.011422 0.023049 0.040104 0.065176 0.099382 0.142831 0.200568
2025-05-11 0.011240 0.023273 0.041172 0.067740 0.104253 0.150889 0.213135
2025-05-18 0.009756 0.021270 0.038877 0.065511 0.102634 0.150551 0.215046
2025-05-25 0.008799 0.020061 0.037689 0.064784 0.102988 0.152729 0.220134
2025-06-01 0.007997 0.019046 0.036740 0.064348 0.103701 0.155349 0.225781
2025-06-08 0.007842 0.019167 0.037545 0.066470 0.107959 0.162658 0.237517
2025-06-15 0.007485 0.018891 0.037705 0.067633 0.110884 0.168221 0.247025
2025-06-22 0.007081 0.018497 0.037655 0.068467 0.113345 0.173176 0.255767